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07 April 2009
3 predictions on the future of Iran, and the math to back it up: Bruce Bueno de Mesquita on TED.com
Bruce Bueno de Mesquita uses mathematical analysis to predict (very often correctly) such messy human events as war, political power shifts, Intifada … After a crisp explanation of how he does it, he offers three predictions on the future of Iran. (Recorded at TED2009, February 2009, in Long Beach, California. Duration: 19:05.)
Watch Bruce Bueno de Mesquita’s talk from TED2009 on TED.com, where you can download this TEDTalk, rate it, comment on it and find other talks and performances from our archive of 400+ TEDTalks — including more talks on global issues.
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Discuss this Blog Post
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grier govorko
Apr 8 2009I agree with Joshua – interesting statement. The nebulous ingoing data seemed unlikely to produce such exacting outgoing conclusions. But then I know nothing of game theory – I may take the time to look into it:)
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Jan 13 2012
If you like the ideal of Game Theory, you would probably enjoy reading Isaac Asimov’s The Foundation Novels.
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Haohao Chen
Strong in statement. Weak in substance.